Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 3.315493 3.517046 3.729746 3.971836 4.240853 4.531922 4.872428
2025-10-19 3.032363 3.321053 3.642578 4.030858 4.492092 5.029141 5.712018
2025-10-26 2.842199 3.176319 3.561595 4.045673 4.648096 5.388208 6.391896
2025-11-02 2.672562 3.031244 3.455627 4.005172 4.714485 5.624744 6.928551
2025-11-09 2.509088 2.877341 3.321564 3.910258 4.692181 5.731570 7.290105
2025-11-16 2.386960 2.763908 3.226480 3.852390 4.705895 5.878633 7.717175
2025-11-23 2.317045 2.709687 3.200118 3.878371 4.829622 6.184957 8.419755
2025-11-30 2.249017 2.652882 3.165200 3.887597 4.926873 6.458322 9.109039
2025-12-07 2.142066 2.540228 3.050201 3.778123 4.842509 6.445733 9.312427
2025-12-14 2.052271 2.445858 2.954534 3.689016 4.779785 6.458024 9.557177
2025-12-21 1.994558 2.390985 2.908809 3.666827 4.813791 6.625027 10.108131
2025-12-28 1.943367 2.342436 2.868971 3.649893 4.853048 6.802298 10.707816
2026-01-04 1.912698 2.322071 2.869378 3.695352 4.999307 7.187725 11.836808
2026-01-11 1.883508 2.302625 2.870236 3.741719 5.151669 7.605688 13.158117
2026-01-18 1.846307 2.270315 2.850798 3.755156 5.249563 7.935523 14.375941
2026-01-25 1.796879 2.219041 2.801650 3.719289 5.260127 8.099162 15.230727
2026-02-01 1.736393 2.150274 2.724421 3.635169 5.180580 8.075442 15.582071
2026-02-08 1.688882 2.098277 2.669693 3.583807 5.154613 8.156728 16.256167
2026-02-15 1.665111 2.078973 2.662024 3.606874 5.262453 8.528103 17.926726
2026-02-22 1.638609 2.054794 2.645958 3.615063 5.343307 8.853086 19.603850
2026-03-01 1.585335 1.990701 2.567990 3.517804 5.221182 8.713180 19.633456
2026-03-08 1.539173 1.935803 2.502357 3.438487 5.128419 8.631595 19.862773
2026-03-15 1.510718 1.905758 2.473291 3.418714 5.147225 8.808888 21.147034